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Taboola.com Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

7,206.39

increased by 3,578.86

1 Week

3,590.38

decreased by 37.15

1 Month

2,971.67

decreased by 655.86

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Taboola.com Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8869
4.47***
αARCH0.1765
10.12***
βGARCH0.7747
34.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0803
-2.36**

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8869
4.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1765
10.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7747
34.68***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0803
-2.36**

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days