Taboola.com Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026
1 Day
7,206.39
increased by 3,578.86
1 Week
3,590.38
decreased by 37.15
1 Month
2,971.67
decreased by 655.86
Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8869 | 4.47*** |
| αARCH | 0.1765 | 10.12*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7747 | 34.68*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0803 | -2.36** |
0.951
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8869 | 4.47*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1765 | 10.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7747 | 34.68*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0803 | -2.36** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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