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TAT Technologies Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

4,774.30

decreased by 323.86

1 Week

5,287.14

increased by 188.98

1 Month

4,547.87

decreased by 550.29

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of TAT Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 30, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4731
0.03
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1070
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8930
0.08
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-0.1788
-0.03
γ20.0562
0.01
γ30.3545
0.04
γ4-0.4229
-0.06
γ50.2198
0.07

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

86643 days