V-Lab
TAT Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
5,874.48
1 Week
6,406.18
1 Month
5,595.07
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1991 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1141 | 2.11** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9060 | 360.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0864 | -1.44 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.6285 | 2.98*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9924 | 449.25*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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