TAT Technologies Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
5,179.87
1 Week
4,787.76
1 Month
5,417.42
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 30, 1991 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 117 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1115 | 5.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9080 | 407.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0508 | -1.47 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0032 | 6.59*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9947 | 4,010.92*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
117 days
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