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Bank of New York Mellon Corp/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

28.72

increased by 0.69

1 Week

29.18

increased by 1.15

1 Month

30.70

increased by 2.67

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bank of New York Mellon Corp/The ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0517
18.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9379
409.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0447
-2.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0088
57.66***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.06
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
4,922.44***

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

21 days