{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	56
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2885
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.5136
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0975
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0765
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0344
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.0006

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