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V-Lab

Softwareone Holding AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

5,230.88

decreased by 194.84

1 Week

5,577.81

increased by 152.09

1 Month

6,332.75

increased by 907.03

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Softwareone Holding AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 3, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9366
6.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
1.63
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8150
5.22***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.5921
-1.64

Persistence:

0.870

Half-life:

5 days