V-Lab
Sunita Tools Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
4,231.24
increased by 466.24
1 Week
3,172.26
decreased by 592.74
1 Month
4,075.88
increased by 310.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 11, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.0497 | 11.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4060 | 6.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0991 | 1.35 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1610 | -1.62 |
Persistence:
0.505
Half-life:
1 days
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