V-Lab
Sumeet Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 23rd, 2026
1 Day
15,145.77
increased by 10,261.16
1 Week
4,026.82
decreased by 857.79
1 Month
1,011.16
decreased by 3,873.45
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 07:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2009 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 37 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1994 | 4.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2562 | 13.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7251 | 38.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 1.3568 | 4.44*** |
| γ2 | -2.4888 | -5.40*** |
| γ3 | 1.6173 | 4.31*** |
| γ4 | -0.5116 | -1.53 |
| γ5 | 1.1643 | 3.87*** |
| γ6 | -3.2362 | -11.63*** |
| γ7 | 4.2889 | 12.65*** |
| γ8 | -8.4641 | -6.24*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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