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V-Lab

Sonam Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 13th, 2026

1 Day

5,770.33

decreased by 1,862.53

1 Week

7,431.02

decreased by 201.84

1 Month

9,592.65

increased by 1,959.79

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 07:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Sonam Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 14, 2018 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0281
4.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3265
8.61***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5772
12.32***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-2.6152
-4.62***
γ24.3983
5.41***
γ3-3.6063
-7.15***
γ43.2698
6.03***
γ5-1.9431
-2.38**

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days