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Sixt SE Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

5,687.68

decreased by 673.37

1 Week

5,775.96

decreased by 585.09

1 Month

5,304.28

decreased by 1,056.77

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sixt SE ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 1998 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 359 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~359 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1956
4.54***
αARCH0.1439
8.56***
βGARCH0.8542
53.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.3183
-3.71***
γ20.5584
3.61***
γ3-0.3202
-3.19***
γ40.0891
1.78*

0.998

Persistence

359d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1956
4.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1439
8.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8542
53.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-0.3183
-3.71***
γ20.5584
3.61***
γ3-0.3202
-3.19***
γ40.0891
1.78*

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

359 days