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Sikder Insurance Company Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

2,294.70

increased by 506.68

1 Week

1,240.87

decreased by 547.15

1 Month

1,080.91

decreased by 707.11

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 03:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Sikder Insurance Company Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2024 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 471 trading days (~1.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~471 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5172
6.32***
αARCH0.5515
18.22***
βGARCH0.4470
14.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.1047
-4.78***

0.999

Persistence

471d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5172
6.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5515
18.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4470
14.67***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.1047
-4.78***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

471 days