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Shivashrit Foods Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

9,679.71

increased by 7,279.65

1 Week

4,431.41

increased by 2,031.35

1 Month

2,823.60

increased by 423.54

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Shivashrit Foods Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 1, 2025 to Oct 19, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4458
3.95***
αARCH0.1981
2.31**
βGARCH0.5076
2.96***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.0007
-2.75***

0.706

Persistence

2d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4458
3.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1981
2.31**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5076
2.96***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.0007
-2.75***

Persistence:

0.706

Half-life:

2 days