Shivashrit Foods Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
9,679.71
increased by 7,279.65
1 Week
4,431.41
increased by 2,031.35
1 Month
2,823.60
increased by 423.54
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 1, 2025 to Oct 19, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4458 | 3.95*** |
| αARCH | 0.1981 | 2.31** |
| βGARCH | 0.5076 | 2.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -3.0007 | -2.75*** |
0.706
Persistence2d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4458 | 3.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1981 | 2.31** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5076 | 2.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -3.0007 | -2.75*** |
Persistence:
0.706
Half-life:
2 days
Other Shivashrit Foods Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities