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Sonha Saigon Joint Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

7,840.42

increased by 4,497.51

1 Week

3,516.22

increased by 173.31

1 Month

2,940.97

decreased by 401.94

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sonha Saigon Joint ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 227 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0726
2.05**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1484
6.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8485
39.92***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-6.4417
-2.21**
γ214.0588
2.76***
γ3-10.7219
-3.04***
γ40.6126
0.29
γ56.2537
4.07***
γ6-5.4938
-4.54***
γ71.8127
1.20

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

227 days