Skip to main content
V-Lab

Sonha Saigon Joint Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026

1 Day

4,859.92

increased by 2,195.03

1 Week

2,746.65

increased by 81.76

1 Month

2,437.86

decreased by 227.03

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sonha Saigon Joint ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0924
0.98
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0369
7.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9464
302.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0334
1.61

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-