Sonha Saigon Joint ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 8th, 2026
1 Day
22,043.46
1 Week
7,905.49
1 Month
4,704.61
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 11:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2014 to Jul 3, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5550 | 0.03 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0531 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.7439 | 0.03 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4852 | 0.03 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5148 | 0.13 |
Persistence:
0.528
Half-life:
1 days
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