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V-Lab

Sfd Sa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

1,313,433.00

decreased by 276,432.00

1 Week

1,633,348.00

increased by 43,483.00

1 Month

1,411,323.80

decreased by 178,541.20

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sfd Sa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 21, 2014 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2265 trading days (~9.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4211
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1963
6.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8034
28.30***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ1-2.5396
-1.42
γ2-1.3052
-0.43
γ37.1670
2.37**
γ4-0.4983
-0.11
γ5-6.1608
-1.27
γ64.3545
1.50

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2265 days