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V-Lab

Sfd Sa Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

593,469.90

decreased by 73,380.50

1 Week

707,092.64

increased by 40,242.24

1 Month

1,185,669.31

increased by 518,818.91

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sfd Sa ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 21, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1974 trading days (~7.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5041
2.31**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2212
7.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7784
26.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-2.2223
-0.87
γ2-2.0158
-0.55
γ38.2110
3.79***
γ4-5.3877
-3.05***
γ53.8823
2.31**
γ6-5.4303
-2.59***
γ75.1713
2.16**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1974 days