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V-Lab

SeSa S.p.A. Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

4,759.55

decreased by 672.29

1 Week

5,420.98

decreased by 10.86

1 Month

5,264.84

decreased by 167.00

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SeSa S.p.A. ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 7, 2011 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 73 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7023
3.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1780
8.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8126
41.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-5.3095
-4.08***
γ210.7765
4.52***
γ3-9.1543
-5.01***
γ45.3790
3.89***
γ5-2.7211
-2.97***
γ61.8493
3.23***
γ7-1.2032
-2.23**
γ80.5209
1.00
γ9-0.3585
-0.54

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

73 days