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Suez Canal Co for Technology Settling Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

9,695.45

decreased by 632.07

1 Week

11,739.96

increased by 1,412.44

1 Month

13,290.38

increased by 2,962.86

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Suez Canal Co for Technology Settling ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 27, 2006 to Oct 22, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6839
1.64
αARCH0.0992
5.25***
βGARCH0.8279
19.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ11.4992
2.93***
γ2-1.6715
-2.04**
γ3-0.5004
-0.75
γ41.4890
2.61***
γ5-2.2589
-3.67***
γ62.7521
3.87***
γ7-1.7323
-2.48**
γ80.0472
0.05

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6839
1.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0992
5.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8279
19.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ11.4992
2.93***
γ2-1.6715
-2.04**
γ3-0.5004
-0.75
γ41.4890
2.61***
γ5-2.2589
-3.67***
γ62.7521
3.87***
γ7-1.7323
-2.48**
γ80.0472
0.05

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days