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V-Lab

Softlogic Capital Plc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026

1 Day

6,021.37

increased by 4,509.19

1 Week

2,790.56

increased by 1,278.38

1 Month

2,676.07

increased by 1,163.89

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Softlogic Capital Plc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 13, 2012 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 48 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7400
2.17**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1195
4.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8661
33.04***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.3418
-0.86
γ20.0183
0.01
γ33.6593
5.11***
γ4-3.9987
-3.79***
γ53.0830
2.54**
γ6-2.9645
-1.96*
γ71.7473
0.80
γ81.2437
0.57
γ9-1.9486
-1.24
γ10-1.0102
-0.61

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days