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Saudi Cable Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 21st, 2026

1 Day

5,309.58

decreased by 1,198.80

1 Week

3,546.81

decreased by 2,961.57

1 Month

4,901.85

decreased by 1,606.53

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 21, 2026 at 08:20 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/20/2024

to

10/20/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Cable Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2001 to Oct 15, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1022 trading days (~4.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1022 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.7685
2.11**
αARCH0.3008
9.79***
βGARCH0.6985
22.69***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0000
0.00

0.999

Persistence

1022d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.7685
2.11**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3008
9.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6985
22.69***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1022 days