V-Lab
Sawaliya Food Products Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
22,710.70
increased by 18,189.19
1 Week
6,996.52
increased by 2,475.01
1 Month
2,929.12
decreased by 1,592.39
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 15, 2025 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0790 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2762 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7237 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 7.0796 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
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