Samorita Hospitals Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
1,345.41
decreased by 259.60
1 Week
1,625.67
increased by 20.66
1 Month
1,243.61
decreased by 361.40
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 12, 2009 to Oct 27, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1105 trading days (~4.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1105 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.3202 | 4.33*** |
| αARCH | 0.2109 | 3.82*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7885 | 13.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 1.6441 | 0.59 |
| γ2 | -7.4192 | -1.97** |
| γ3 | 13.3757 | 4.99*** |
| γ4 | -18.0299 | -3.41*** |
| γ5 | 27.0116 | 2.35** |
| γ6 | -32.8765 | -2.35** |
| γ7 | 26.3243 | 2.51** |
| γ8 | -14.7163 | -2.63*** |
| γ9 | 7.1276 | 2.83*** |
| γ10 | -4.7884 | -2.41** |
0.999
Persistence1105d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3202 | 4.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2109 | 3.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7885 | 13.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 1.6441 | 0.59 |
| γ2 | -7.4192 | -1.97** |
| γ3 | 13.3757 | 4.99*** |
| γ4 | -18.0299 | -3.41*** |
| γ5 | 27.0116 | 2.35** |
| γ6 | -32.8765 | -2.35** |
| γ7 | 26.3243 | 2.51** |
| γ8 | -14.7163 | -2.63*** |
| γ9 | 7.1276 | 2.83*** |
| γ10 | -4.7884 | -2.41** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1105 days
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