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Samart Corp PCL Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, November 6th, 2026

1 Day

8,847.11

increased by 5,445.56

1 Week

5,381.65

increased by 1,980.10

1 Month

3,060.54

decreased by 341.01

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/05/2024

to

11/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Samart Corp PCL ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 24, 1994 to Nov 3, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 535 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~535 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.4181
2.42**
αARCH0.1746
14.00***
βGARCH0.8241
65.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0113
9.26***

0.999

Persistence

535d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.4181
2.42**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1746
14.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8241
65.88***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0113
9.26***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

535 days