V-Lab
Scottish American Investment Co PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
3,857.10
decreased by 445.60
1 Week
4,270.86
decreased by 31.84
1 Month
3,475.16
decreased by 827.54
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2442 | 10.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1215 | 8.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8489 | 56.90*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0065 | -4.26*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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