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Scottish American Investment Co PLC/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026

1 Day

3,857.10

decreased by 445.60

1 Week

4,270.86

decreased by 31.84

1 Month

3,475.16

decreased by 827.54

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Scottish American Investment Co PLC/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 23 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2442
10.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1215
8.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8489
56.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0065
-4.26***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days