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Scottish American Investment Co PLC/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 28th, 2026
1 Day
4,250.75
1 Week
4,598.01
1 Month
3,604.14
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 08:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1081 | 3.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8765 | 249.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1081 | -3.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9991 | 299.68*** |
Persistence:
0.931
Half-life:
10 days
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