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SMA Solar Technology AG Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

4,983.35

decreased by 7.34

1 Week

4,986.19

decreased by 4.50

1 Month

5,281.80

increased by 291.11

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of SMA Solar Technology AG ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 27, 2008 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 213 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~213 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1628
6.19***
αARCH0.0895
13.57***
βGARCH0.9072
134.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0117
-2.41**

0.997

Persistence

213d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1628
6.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0895
13.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9072
134.52***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0117
-2.41**

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

213 days