V-Lab
Rezolute Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
4,827.70
decreased by 375.81
1 Week
5,705.27
increased by 501.76
1 Month
4,483.61
decreased by 719.90
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 10, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.6685 | 5.19*** |
| αARCH | 0.2157 | 6.99*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7347 | 21.28*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 1.6287 | 3.62*** |
| γ2 | -3.4515 | -4.87*** |
| γ3 | 2.3017 | 5.19*** |
| γ4 | 0.3629 | 0.66 |
0.950
Persistence14d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6685 | 5.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2157 | 6.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7347 | 21.28*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 1.6287 | 3.62*** |
| γ2 | -3.4515 | -4.87*** |
| γ3 | 2.3017 | 5.19*** |
| γ4 | 0.3629 | 0.66 |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
14 days
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