V-Lab
Rama Phosphates Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026
1 Day
3,639.86
increased by 72.46
1 Week
3,905.64
increased by 338.24
1 Month
5,232.22
increased by 1,664.82
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 8, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3094 trading days (~12.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6848 | 5.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2691 | 5.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7306 | 15.36*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -3.8686 | -2.92*** |
| γ2 | 8.2656 | 4.14*** |
| γ3 | -9.4163 | -7.05*** |
| γ4 | 8.7897 | 6.35*** |
| γ5 | -5.0494 | -4.02*** |
| γ6 | -1.8545 | -0.86 |
| γ7 | 8.4277 | 2.06** |
| γ8 | -7.9978 | -2.17** |
| γ9 | 3.3073 | 1.88* |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3094 days
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