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Rama Phosphates Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 31st, 2026

1 Day

3,639.86

increased by 72.46

1 Week

3,905.64

increased by 338.24

1 Month

5,232.22

increased by 1,664.82

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 07:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Rama Phosphates Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2010 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3094 trading days (~12.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6848
5.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2691
5.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7306
15.36***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-3.8686
-2.92***
γ28.2656
4.14***
γ3-9.4163
-7.05***
γ48.7897
6.35***
γ5-5.0494
-4.02***
γ6-1.8545
-0.86
γ78.4277
2.06**
γ8-7.9978
-2.17**
γ93.3073
1.88*

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3094 days