V-Lab
Reliance Infrastructure Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
8,658.80
increased by 2,053.81
1 Week
5,953.65
decreased by 651.34
1 Month
4,848.75
decreased by 1,756.24
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 26, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 77016 trading days (~305.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2882 | 0.01 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1517 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8483 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 0.0532 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -0.2794 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 0.4704 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
77016 days
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