Ring Energy Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
5,497.72
decreased by 949.95
1 Week
6,156.70
decreased by 290.97
1 Month
5,716.04
decreased by 731.63
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 3, 2007 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 786 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~786 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1104 | 2.40** |
| αARCH | 0.1691 | 9.73*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8301 | 47.72*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0324 | 2.23** |
0.999
Persistence786d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1104 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1691 | 9.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8301 | 47.72*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0324 | 2.23** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
786 days
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