V-Lab
Ramkamhaeng Hospital Pcl Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
4,807.04
increased by 3,155.56
1 Week
2,763.41
increased by 1,111.93
1 Month
4,044.94
increased by 2,393.46
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 24, 1994 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6658 | 2.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1989 | 6.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7737 | 22.91*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.5813 | -0.92 |
| γ2 | -0.5624 | -0.58 |
| γ3 | 2.5288 | 4.09*** |
| γ4 | -1.9455 | -4.48*** |
| γ5 | 0.5577 | 1.23 |
| γ6 | 0.0709 | 0.17 |
| γ7 | -0.2413 | -0.62 |
| γ8 | -0.6749 | -0.68 |
| γ9 | 3.5038 | 1.82* |
| γ10 | -5.4867 | -2.55** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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