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Quice Food Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

12,929.30

increased by 5,019.53

1 Week

7,936.18

increased by 26.41

1 Month

4,893.54

decreased by 3,016.23

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 12:59 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Quice Food Industries Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 1, 2012 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 14146 trading days (~56.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~14146 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5094
2.72***
αARCH0.2567
5.55***
βGARCH0.7432
16.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.7895
-0.74
γ20.6709
0.54
γ30.9588
2.63***
γ4-2.0873
-6.47***
γ52.5764
7.80***
γ6-3.2368
-9.34***
γ74.1548
7.41***

1.000

Persistence

14146d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5094
2.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2567
5.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7432
16.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=7
γ1-0.7895
-0.74
γ20.6709
0.54
γ30.9588
2.63***
γ4-2.0873
-6.47***
γ52.5764
7.80***
γ6-3.2368
-9.34***
γ74.1548
7.41***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

14146 days