V-Lab
Quice Food Industries Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
12,929.30
increased by 5,019.53
1 Week
7,936.18
increased by 26.41
1 Month
4,893.54
decreased by 3,016.23
Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 12:59 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 1, 2012 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 14146 trading days (~56.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~14146 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.5094 | 2.72*** |
| αARCH | 0.2567 | 5.55*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7432 | 16.10*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -0.7895 | -0.74 |
| γ2 | 0.6709 | 0.54 |
| γ3 | 0.9588 | 2.63*** |
| γ4 | -2.0873 | -6.47*** |
| γ5 | 2.5764 | 7.80*** |
| γ6 | -3.2368 | -9.34*** |
| γ7 | 4.1548 | 7.41*** |
1.000
Persistence14146d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5094 | 2.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2567 | 5.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7432 | 16.10*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=7
| γ1 | -0.7895 | -0.74 |
| γ2 | 0.6709 | 0.54 |
| γ3 | 0.9588 | 2.63*** |
| γ4 | -2.0873 | -6.47*** |
| γ5 | 2.5764 | 7.80*** |
| γ6 | -3.2368 | -9.34*** |
| γ7 | 4.1548 | 7.41*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
14146 days
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