V-Lab
Qms Medical Allied Services Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
4,952.25
decreased by 535.07
1 Week
4,481.97
decreased by 1,005.35
1 Month
5,853.09
increased by 365.77
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 11, 2022 to Oct 1, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 68 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8954 | 4.69*** |
| αARCH | 0.1423 | 6.02*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8476 | 29.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2874 | -2.31** |
0.990
Persistence68d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8954 | 4.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1423 | 6.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8476 | 29.88*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.2874 | -2.31** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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