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V-Lab

Purple Finance Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

5,880.42

decreased by 881.40

1 Week

4,857.31

decreased by 1,904.51

1 Month

5,422.78

decreased by 1,339.04

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:54 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Purple Finance Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 17, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 46 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9513
4.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2676
6.28***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7174
15.24***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-1.6270
-1.65*

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days