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Prizma Pres Matbaacilik Yay Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 18th, 2026

1 Day

13,639.56

increased by 12,425.14

1 Week

3,378.76

increased by 2,164.34

1 Month

994.46

decreased by 219.96

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Prizma Pres Matbaacilik Yay ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 21, 2012 to Sep 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 152 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~152 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3868
3.37***
αARCH0.2216
15.62***
βGARCH0.7738
55.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.1239
-4.80***
γ20.1929
4.56***

0.995

Persistence

152d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3868
3.37***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2216
15.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7738
55.76***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.1239
-4.80***
γ20.1929
4.56***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

152 days