Skip to main content
V-Lab

PPHE Hotel Group Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

41,150.26

decreased by 5,740.08

1 Week

42,464.52

decreased by 4,425.82

1 Month

42,466.63

decreased by 4,423.71

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PPHE Hotel Group Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 11, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7763
2.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1320
3.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6797
8.52***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.9100
-6.48***
γ22.5881
6.47***
γ3-0.6909
-2.95***
γ4-0.0401
-0.15
γ50.0405
0.12
γ61.0002
2.28**
γ7-2.5847
-3.42***
γ82.0892
2.20**
γ9-0.0466
-0.05

Persistence:

0.812

Half-life:

3 days