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V-Lab

PPHE Hotel Group Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

48,286.80

decreased by 1,098.26

1 Week

53,258.57

increased by 3,873.51

1 Month

47,564.68

decreased by 1,820.38

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PPHE Hotel Group Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 11, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7965
2.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2870
4.67***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.9534
-7.05***
γ22.6450
7.18***
γ3-0.6621
-3.21***
γ4-0.1547
-0.74
γ50.1990
0.78
γ60.7621
1.99**
γ7-2.2365
-3.28***
γ81.7747
2.22**
γ90.1269
0.17

Persistence:

0.287

Half-life:

1 days