V-Lab
Power Grid Co Of Bangladesh Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Sunday, September 20th, 2026
1 Day
188,641.00
decreased by 5,078.00
1 Week
128,252.16
decreased by 65,466.84
1 Month
43,925.25
decreased by 149,793.75
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 06:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 7, 2006 to Sep 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 3040 trading days (~12.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3040 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 7.2872 | 3.49*** |
| αARCH | 0.8187 | 83.12*** |
| βGARCH | 0.1811 | 18.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.0291 | -1.55 |
| γ2 | 2.1383 | 2.41** |
| γ3 | -1.9551 | -5.33*** |
| γ4 | 1.3338 | 4.32*** |
| γ5 | -19.6145 | -6.71*** |
| γ6 | 66.3940 | 7.07*** |
| γ7 | -128.9338 | -10.22*** |
| γ8 | 186.6261 | 14.89*** |
| γ9 | -179.4982 | -11.80*** |
| γ10 | 126.9860 | 6.67*** |
1.000
Persistence3040d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 7.2872 | 3.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.8187 | 83.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1811 | 18.37*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -1.0291 | -1.55 |
| γ2 | 2.1383 | 2.41** |
| γ3 | -1.9551 | -5.33*** |
| γ4 | 1.3338 | 4.32*** |
| γ5 | -19.6145 | -6.71*** |
| γ6 | 66.3940 | 7.07*** |
| γ7 | -128.9338 | -10.22*** |
| γ8 | 186.6261 | 14.89*** |
| γ9 | -179.4982 | -11.80*** |
| γ10 | 126.9860 | 6.67*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3040 days
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