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Heramba Electric PLC -Redh Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

32,724,460,000,000,000.00

increased by 28,719,468,000,000,000.00

1 Week

32,724,460,000,000,000.00

increased by 28,719,468,000,000,000.00

1 Month

32,724,460,000,000,000.00

increased by 28,719,468,000,000,000.00

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 09:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Heramba Electric PLC  -Redh ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 29, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0241
0.12
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2723
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7277
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ11.1981
0.00
γ2-1.4991
0.00
γ32.5543
0.00
γ4-18.1129
0.00
γ589.8929
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

115524 days