V-Lab
Heramba Electric PLC -Redh Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
32,724,460,000,000,000.00
increased by 28,719,468,000,000,000.00
1 Week
32,724,460,000,000,000.00
increased by 28,719,468,000,000,000.00
1 Month
32,724,460,000,000,000.00
increased by 28,719,468,000,000,000.00
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 1, 2026 at 09:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 29, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0241 | 0.12 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2723 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7277 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | 1.1981 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | -1.4991 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | 2.5543 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | -18.1129 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | 89.8929 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
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