V-Lab
Pantheon Infrastructure PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
12,894.86
increased by 628.09
1 Week
13,239.66
increased by 972.89
1 Month
13,914.77
increased by 1,648.00
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 16, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4634 | 14.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1278 | 2.50** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1727 | 0.80 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0921 | -4.38*** |
Persistence:
0.300
Half-life:
1 days
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