V-Lab
Pantheon Infrastructure PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 4th, 2026
1 Day
19,661.08
increased by 6,920.57
1 Week
15,155.15
increased by 2,414.64
1 Month
15,759.17
increased by 3,018.66
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 08:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 16, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4648 | 13.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1309 | 2.55** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1739 | 0.83 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0904 | -4.10*** |
Persistence:
0.305
Half-life:
1 days
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