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Partners Group Private Equity Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

20,385.69

increased by 2,081.72

1 Week

16,996.61

decreased by 1,307.36

1 Month

19,717.27

increased by 1,413.30

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 08:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Partners Group Private Equity Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 1, 2007 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 10 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.8078
3.87***
αARCH0.1514
5.15***
βGARCH0.7820
20.87***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.1363
-2.18**
γ20.7088
0.89
γ31.2774
2.69***
γ4-1.4302
-4.15***
γ51.0748
3.67***
γ6-0.7705
-3.36***
γ70.5157
2.39**
γ8-0.4388
-1.83*
γ90.2765
1.01
γ10-0.1227
-0.33

0.933

Persistence

10d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8078
3.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1514
5.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7820
20.87***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-1.1363
-2.18**
γ20.7088
0.89
γ31.2774
2.69***
γ4-1.4302
-4.15***
γ51.0748
3.67***
γ6-0.7705
-3.36***
γ70.5157
2.39**
γ8-0.4388
-1.83*
γ90.2765
1.01
γ10-0.1227
-0.33

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days