Partners Group Private Equity Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
25,482.74
1 Week
29,871.28
1 Month
29,368.66
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 1, 2007 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1947 | 0.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6579 | 23.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1947 | -0.18 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0914 | 0.49 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9086 | 13.08*** |
Persistence:
0.755
Half-life:
2 days
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