V-Lab
Partners Group Private Equity Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
14,848.19
1 Week
17,294.41
1 Month
17,280.60
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 1, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1949 | 0.37 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6567 | 23.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1949 | -0.18 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.16 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0893 | 0.48 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9105 | 13.88*** |
Persistence:
0.754
Half-life:
2 days
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