Skip to main content
V-Lab

Premier Energy PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

5,260.44

increased by 1,006.29

1 Week

3,949.75

decreased by 304.40

1 Month

4,618.95

increased by 364.80

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 08:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Premier Energy PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 27, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 5 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5505
4.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1916
3.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6816
8.64***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-3.8762
-5.16***
γ24.6311
3.64***

Persistence:

0.873

Half-life:

5 days