V-Lab
N R Vandana TEX Industries L Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
9,197.69
decreased by 1.91
1 Week
8,106.03
decreased by 1,093.57
1 Month
5,613.49
decreased by 3,586.11
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 4, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 300 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2820 | 2.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4182 | 7.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5794 | 9.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -8.7575 | -2.33** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
300 days
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