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N R Vandana TEX Industries L Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

9,197.69

decreased by 1.91

1 Week

8,106.03

decreased by 1,093.57

1 Month

5,613.49

decreased by 3,586.11

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of N R Vandana TEX Industries L ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 4, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 300 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2820
2.87***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4182
7.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5794
9.74***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-8.7575
-2.33**

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

300 days