V-Lab
Nederman Holding AB Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
5,066.27
decreased by 95.93
1 Week
5,117.60
decreased by 44.60
1 Month
5,248.71
increased by 86.51
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 92 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6260 | 3.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0773 | 6.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9152 | 71.45*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | -0.1469 | -4.72*** |
| γ2 | 0.1980 | 3.79*** |
| γ3 | -0.1072 | -2.39** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
92 days
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