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V-Lab

Nilorngruppen Ab Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

8,454.54

increased by 5,240.58

1 Week

4,485.72

increased by 1,271.76

1 Month

3,238.92

increased by 24.96

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nilorngruppen Ab ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 64 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7999
6.14***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1545
11.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8347
60.08***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0366
-2.96***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days