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Nilorngruppen Ab ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

9,058.01

increased by 5,170.35

1 Week

5,137.40

increased by 1,249.74

1 Month

3,872.79

decreased by 14.87

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 02:08 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Nilorngruppen Ab ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 15, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 88 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1525
9.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8400
225.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0007
-0.03
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
2.78***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9999
711.16***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

88 days