V-Lab
Nanofilm Technologies Intl Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
4,852.06
increased by 9.35
1 Week
5,362.03
increased by 519.32
1 Month
4,947.17
increased by 104.46
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 11:07 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 30, 2020 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8056 | 7.48*** |
| αARCH | 0.1391 | 8.11*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8335 | 43.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1108 | -4.52*** |
0.973
Persistence25d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8056 | 7.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1391 | 8.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8335 | 43.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1108 | -4.52*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
Other Nanofilm Technologies Intl Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on International Equities