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Nandan Denim Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, September 24th, 2026

1 Day

6,451.31

decreased by 1,431.28

1 Week

8,402.78

increased by 520.19

1 Month

6,163.10

decreased by 1,719.49

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 07:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Nandan Denim Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2005 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 195 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~195 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5496
5.89***
αARCH0.2066
15.25***
βGARCH0.7898
57.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0812
-4.94***
γ20.1966
6.15***

0.996

Persistence

195d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5496
5.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2066
15.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7898
57.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-0.0812
-4.94***
γ20.1966
6.15***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

195 days