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Nagarro Se Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

5,022.76

decreased by 170.58

1 Week

3,126.63

decreased by 2,066.71

1 Month

1,741.73

decreased by 3,451.61

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 9, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Nagarro Se ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 51 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0949
4.27***
αARCH0.1375
9.15***
βGARCH0.8491
51.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1862
-4.31***

0.987

Persistence

51d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0949
4.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1375
9.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8491
51.09***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.1862
-4.31***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days