V-Lab
Myriad Genetics Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
5,045.39
decreased by 531.63
1 Week
5,498.97
decreased by 78.05
1 Month
4,602.24
decreased by 974.78
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 6, 1995 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0659 | 4.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1083 | 0.54 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8917 | 4.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0206 | -0.07 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
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